El Niño is here

Are we in for a bumpy ride this year .... it sure looks like a possibility. Last year the Pacific had 3 times as many named storms as the Atlantic

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Centre upgraded its assessment from 'El Niño Watch' to 'El Niño Advisory', meaning an event is now occurring.

Simply put, El Niño favors stronger hurricane activity in the central and eastern Pacific basins, and suppresses it in the Atlantic basin (Figure 1). Conversely, La Niña suppresses hurricane activity in the central and eastern Pacific basins, and enhances it in the Atlantic basin 

Typical influence of El Niño on Pacific and Atlantic seasonal hurricane activity. Map by NOAA Climate.gov

Typical influence of La Niña on Pacific and Atlantic seasonal hurricane activity. Map by NOAA Climate.gov

Average sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific for the week of 25th Feb. Anomalies are relative to 1981-2010 weekly average. Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Centre

What is El Niño

Jeff Masters and Kevin Trenberth talk El Nino

Atmosphere 'has finally woken up' as El Niño gets underway in the Pacific

Now you're alone

That was a parting remark from my Canadian neighbor the day before they headed for the airport and the flight back north.  She's the same one that refuses to think in pesos for the 5 months they are here.   It is a fact that all the "gringos" are gone from our community but I still have a bunch of good neighbors.  

Burro

I didn't catch Burro in a way to show off his ears best but this is pretty good.   As he hangs out the car window he gets lots of oohhs and aahs like something never seen before.   Burro is my neighbors dog and his first name was murcielago (bat) but Nahima couldn't pronounce it so Burro it is.   A short quick name is better for a dog.

The Internet was off and on over the last week but really not that bad.  I just had nothing to say which can be a good thing.   Going back to school shopping, trying to get CFE here to clear the neighbors tree off my power lines and catching up with things not done because too many people in town.  Semana Santa vacation is just about over and we survived it.  

We've not had a totally clear day for over two weeks and the humidity has gone way up.   The ocean temperature has gone up as well.  No signs of rain here but the highlands are getting some earlier than normal.   Year of El Nino with signs this early ..... I don't know.   I just have a feeling.

First low pressure system of the season

The Eastern Pacific hurricane season starts on the 15th, only four days away. This Invest 90 is a few days early but probably will bring nothing but clouds and a bit of rain. This season is expected to be busier than the past two which were below normal. Most activity is scheduled for late in the season due to El Nino effects. West coast of Mexico

Weather Underground